Mediation in the Karabakh Dispute
Dr. Mahmood Vaezi
Vice-President of the Center for Strategic Research
and Head of Foreign Policy Research
I- The Policy of the Islamic Republic of Iran toward the Caucasus
The history of the relationship between Iran and the Caucasus is one of subjugation and rebellion, coupled with the search of other paths facing Iran.
Until before the beginning of the rule of Qajar's dynasty, the Caucuses Region was subject to the Iranian Court. All the kings and rulers of this region were appointed and dismissed by the king of Iran. In this period of Iranian history, under Safavid, Afsharid and Zand dynasties, Iranian sovereignty over the Caucasus were undeniable and unchallenged.
The Ottoman government, even with its great interest in the Caucasus, could not undermine this sovereignty. Russia, however, was expanding as a regional power. Although the new developments and the growth of Russian power tempted local rulers to free themselves from Iranian sovereignty and thus paying tribute to Iran, at the end of this period of history, harsh reaction and repressive policy of local rulers in the Caucasus and, particularly in Georgia, entailed outcomes contrary to what Iranian rulers might have expected. The decline of power and consolidation of Iranian presence derived from weakening political power in Iran rather than Russia's efforts to conquer the Caucasus. In fact, local rulers in the different parts of the Caucasus, depending on the political weight and credit accorded to the dominant power obeyed Iranian rule and paid tribute to it.
However, the first and second wars between Iran and Russia, in 1813 and 1828, totally transformed the regional situation and the traditional Iranian presence and influence, which was a factor contributing regional stability and peace, was removed from the region. However, cultural — ethnic relations
and dependencies developed during Iranian sovereignty and
authority in the Caucasus still continued. While maintaining
good relations with the Muslims inhabiting the Caucasus,
relations with Armenians and Georgians continued on the
bedrock of the mutual favorable opinion, frequentations and
long residence. Armenians living in the north and south of Iran
were among quiet ethnic groups under Iranian sovereignty
and Georgians whose number was very little integrated into the
Iranian society.
However, in examining Iranian political power in the region, in
no period as the last years of Qajar rule did the region witness such political neglect. Nations in the Caucasus including Muslims, Armenians and Georgians pioneered in the
reform movements in the early 20th century in Russian Empire.
They promoted the idea of modernism along with many other European ideals, which brought about major transformations in the early years of this century in Iran during the constitution movement
derived from the events occurred in the Caucasus.
The First World War compounded previous situation for
Iran. Intentions and goals held by the Ottoman Empire with the
coming to power of Young Turks were not only oriented towards
the Caucasus. Rather, they included great parts of the northwestern
territories of Iran. Russians created a major
vacuum in the region by their short — term withdrawal.
Political - military pressures exerted by the Ottoman Empire on
Armenians and the drawing of conflicts into the sphere of
differences between Muslims and Armenians in the Caucasus
had relatively strong political and social influences within Iran.
Iranian society tends to favor Muslims, naturally, due to its
religious ties. However, at that period an intelligent insight prevented the adverse impact of these developments on Iranian society.
This inference that the developments of the regions situated
beyond our borders should not hurt the security of all people,
including Muslims and Armenians within Iranian borders, and influence internal social relations, was a principle observed by the government and religious clerics.
This political orientation had been taken up, despite the
assistance made by people to Muslims inhabiting the Caucasus.
But political understanding of the related adverse influence on
Iranian society the unity of which had remained intact due to
the longstanding coexistence of different peoples and clans was
to such an extent that the two sides (government and religious
scholars on one hand and Armenians inhabiting Iran on the
other hand) were led to this conclusion that they should prevent from spilling over of the development in Caucasus into
the Iranian borders. Iranian Azeris were strongly impressed
when the situation in Caucasus deteriorated and Muslims and
Armenians confronted violently each other over the disputed
regions of Karabakh and Zangezur. But, in this case one of the
Muslim religious leaders was working hard to protect Armenians.
This behavior annoyed Caucasian people and the newspapers
slandered him. Also, Armenians treated Muslim community intelligently, due to the fact that they were in minority and fully understood the sensitivities existing among Muslims.
If we consider internal situation in Iran in that period, we
see that the decline of political power, particularly during the
last years of Qajar dynasty rule had made it very difficult to
provide security throughout the country and even in capital,
the political behavior of rulers and local clerics in Azerbaijan
province of Iran appears very wisely. Furthermore, Young
Turks regions would have benefited politically if the situation
in Iranian regions neighboring the Caucasus had worsened.
Iranian behavior during a half decade of turbulent situation
governing the Caucasus from 1917 to 1922, which determined
the destiny of its people and its political geography, was based
on pure observation.[1] In fact, what hampered Iran's influence
on the region was the lack of a coherent central power and a
plan for pursuing its goals in the Caucasus.
One of the adverse efforts of the lack of a wise central power
in Iran stemmed from the events in a territory which later in
1918 called Azerbaijan. This territory which called Albania,
Aran or Eran, according to various historians and experts from different nationalities was only named Azerbaijan when a
government called Musavat was established in the Caucasus.[2]
This move was prompted by the time. This action by Musarat
government was the result of a kind of consciously political
calculations rather than showing historical ignorance.[3] This
option for a territory situated beyond real and historical
Azerbaijan which is placed within Iranian borders, created
various problems for Iran in later years.
During near 70 years of Soviet rule over all the Caucasus, this
region experienced an apparent stability and peace without
bloodletting and coerced exiles. All the three countries in the
Caucasus became apparently independent republics and the
Soviet Republic of Trans Caucasus, which was not a successful
experiment, before joining the Soviet Union, disappeared.
However, political - social challenges within the Soviet
system and continued in the Caucasus amid covert and
intrasystemic confrontations. As for Karabakh conflict,
Armenians who hardly had accepted its new situation in 1923
were seeking an opportunity to change it in the framework of the
Soviet regime. These challenges, which had intrasystemic
nature, continued.
The problem of nationalities was a dilemma which could not
be solved by the Tzarist regime. As studied in the first part of the
third chapter, the Soviet leadership’s policies towards nationalities,
the Soviet system, could not solve this problem despite various
political, social and economic preparations supported by
Marxist theoretical advantages. Various nationalities in the
Soviet Union not only didn't integrate into the Soviet system,
but also entered the post - Soviet era with their own
independent idea, historical feeling and identity.
The collapse of the Soviet Union brought about two
developments in the Caucasus from security and strategic
dimensions. First, an essential vacuum of power created in the
region derived from the disruption in the order of main system
that was the Soviet Union.[4] Second, the situation
potentially contained national confrontations and hostilities,
which could be a threat for the national security of Iran in the
future. To
understand better Iranian behavior in the new era, first it is necessary that
the importance of region for Iran and the importance of Iran for
the region are examined.
After the collapse of the Soviet Union, Iran tried to enter into
the region through establishing direct contact with the
Caucasus nations and to obtain sustainable
presence and influence in this region. To this end, Iran
recognized new independent states including three countries
situated in the Caucasus in its first move after the collapse of
the Soviet Union. The Foreign Affairs Ministry of the Islamic
Republic of Iran began to establish its diplomatic
representatives in these countries immediately after that they
declared their independence.
Efforts made by Iran were carried out under completely
different situation. Iran was no longer preoccupied with
internal affairs and enjoyed a period of political unity and
coherence. A united political authority allowed Iran to play an effective
role in the scene of regional developments. The Caucasus region was
important for Iran in several respects.
1- Security Perspective
The Soviet regime was considered a threat for Iran from
the standpoint of security. Iran had been threatened with occupation and has been occupied two times during its history from its
northern borders. In the first case, in 1813 and 1828, Iran lost
its Caucasian territories and in the second case (1941 to 1945)
threats by its northern neighbor directed at Azerbaijan
province. Now, with the collapse of the Soviet, the threat by
Russia pushed back beyond of Caucasus Mountains and this was viewed as a strategic and security advantage for Iran. The
existence of the Karabakh Dispute within the borders between Iran and
Azerbaijan has introduced a new factor in security
considerations of Iran.
2- Regional Political Perspective
Establishing relations and trying to play a political role in
the region could create a political advantage based on increasing Iranian
presence and influence in these countries. The collapse of the
Soviet Union was welcomed in Iran and was considered an
opportunity for consolidating relations with the countries
situated in the buffer zone separating Iran from Russia, as well as
a chance to increase its presence in the other republics of Central Asia and
the Caucasus. The Caucasus had been always important for
Iran, but after the independence of three new countries in the
Caucasus and developments after the Cold war,
the importance of this region has been increased, to the extent
that some experts have called the Caucasus the geopolitical
complementary of Iran. Stability and security of these republics
in the period after independence is important for regional
countries and Iran. Iran itself believes that its interests have direct relation
with the stability of the Caucasian countries.
In fact, reaching this goal was itself valuable and could be a
compensation for past events when the regimes
governing Iran were only watching developments taking place beyond their borders with mere indifference. This perspective, in addition to meet Iranian
political interests, could neutralize political - security plots
against Iranian national security. On the other hand, this
perspective could enhance Iran's position in regional power
equations.
3-Economic Perspective
The Iranian economy is complementary with that of Caucasian
republics; they could cooperate with each other in oil and gas.
The Caucasus is one of the North/ South transit axes and is considered one of the arteries for transportation
and transfer of energy to Europe. The Caucasian transit route
to Europe has more comparative advantage for Iran versus the
traditional route passing Turkey. This route makes Iran closer
to some European markets reducing its distance about 1000km .
Economic development and prosperity in the Caucasus countries
are consistent with regional economic policies, and this would
be a good news for Iran. Iran believes that economic prosperity
in these countries will create a new market for Iranian
companies .
4- Cultural Perspective
Iran enjoys good situation in this region due to its historical
background. Azeris, Armenians, and Georgians are familiar
with Iran and its culture, and are interested in Iranian culture.
Furthermore, the second Shiite nation in the world is
Azerbaijan and the close relationship between the two nations of
Iran and Azerbaijan could further their mutual interests.
5- Importance of Iran for the Caucasian Countries
One of the commonalities of these three countries in their
attitudes towards Iran is their political outlook and taking
balance into account in their foreign relations. All of them try to
diversify their foreign supporters to reduce their dependence to
Russia through developing their relations with influential
countries particularly regional countries. This was agreeable to Iran and other regional countries in the initial period of
independence.
On the other hand, Iran is a bridgehead for these countries
to have access to the Persian Gulf and Middle East. Although
the beginning of political - social turbulences in these countries severely
transformed these approaches and forced them to take onother obligations, these perspectives were potentially
maintained in these countries and provided a base for mid -
term cooperation.
The Islamic Republic of Iran serves as the main link between
the Caucasian countries and the Persian Gulf and Middle East.
Transit routes of Iran link the Caucasus to the rest of the Asian
countries. Existing facilities in Iran are one of the complementary
factors of infrastructure needed for the economic development of
regional countries, in which energy is one of the most important issues. For Azerbaijan which is a producer of
oil and gas, the transfer of energy to consumption markets is
very important. The Iranian route, compared with alternative
routes, is one of the most secure, short and economically advantageous routes for
transferring oil . Also, until the construction of a pipelines, the
SWAP program could be implemented for internal consumption.
For energy consuming countries such as Armenia and Georgia,
Iranian oil and gas are a good advantage.
II- The Karabakh Dispute before Iran’s Mediation
1- Crisis of Karabakh before the Process of Mediations
As said in previous chapters, the Crisis of Karabakh had
embarrassed Moscow's government. Armenians and Azeris alike
expected Moscow's authorities to settle the crisis of Karabakh
based on their respective demands. With the independence
of the republics of Azerbaijan and Armenia, the crisis of
Karabakh entered into a new phase of developments. After the
independence of the two Azeri and Armenian nations, they
expected that their fledgling states met all their historical
demands regarding the problem of Karabakh; at the same time
political groups complicated the situation by giving unrealizable
promises aimed at bringing them to power. The problem of Karabakh
in both countries gained such an importance that the survival
of the governments had a direct relation with its success and
failure regarding this problem.
In the spring of 1988, when the first marches and
demonstrations began in Stepanakert, nothingsuggested that after four years the region would witness
bloody disputes between Azeris and Armenians leading to the
displacement of so many people and the abandonment of Azeri
populated villages and cause serious changes in the
demographic situation of Karabakh due to the flow of refuges
from these one republic to the other republic.
Since September 1991, Azerbaijan besieged Karabakh and
cut its connection with the outside by closing roads and
railroads. In early November of the year, Karabakh's
telecommunications were also cut. The main goal of Azerbaijan
was to capture Stepanakert.
In early 1992, Karabakh forces began a new round of their
attacks on Azeri's positions. Azerbaijan dominated Shousha,
the second large and important city of Karabakh, and from
there they could fire on the capital of Karabakh enjoying the benefit
of its higher position than Stepanakert. One of the strategic
objectives of Karabakh was to capture Shousha and to make
Stepanakert out of the reach of Azerbaijan's artillery. A more
strategic objective of Karabakh was to capture Lachin outside of
the autonomous region and in the halfway of the road leading to
Armenia. Until this time, Karabakh was supported and fed by
Armenian cargo and combat helicopters. Karabakh tried to
open a ground route to Armenia to meet its old wish:connecting to Armenia while breaking its siege.
In early February, Azeri forces began their attacks on the
two fronts : Asgaran and Martakert . While fighting continued
in these fronts, Armenian forces captured some of the villages
of Stepanakert which was the place of Azerbaijani forces'
concentration. Since November 1991, when sporadic disputes
began, some important points shifted into hands
several times, but, in general, Armenian forces had complete
superiority. At the same time, another battle was under way in
Baku between people Front and President Motallebev's.
Motallebov's position was increasingly weakened due to the
frequent defeats in war fronts. Principally, due to the nature of
Karabakh war, most of Azeri forces consisted of volunteers and
civilians. The People Front was one of the major organizers of this
public mobilization in Azerbaijan. The People Front also had an
important role in victories and defeats in war because they sent its
supporters to the in war fronts, forcing them to resign if they refused.
a) Political Consequences of Khowai’s Fall:
In large demonstrations took place during the first week of
February in Baku, the resignation of Mehdior, minister of
defense in Motallebor's cabinet was one of the essential
demands of their organizers which was accepted by the
President and the minister of defense was deposed after a
week.[5] Such political disputes in Baku lowered the spirit of
Azeri forces in fronts on the one hand and prompted Armenian
forces to exploit fully the opportunity resulted from differences
in Baku. In these circumstances, Armenian forces prepared
another attack and at the dawn of February 26, they
surrounded Khoujali and wanted the surrender of Azeri forces.
In Khoujali which was one of the most important military bases
of Azerbaijan, Azerbaijani forces surrendered the city.
The fall of Khoujali began a new period in Karabakh's crisis
and was considered a turning point for Azerbaijan and regional
foreign relations and in terms of internal political
developments. With the fall of Khoujali, the government of
Ayyaz Motallebov was also placed on the verge of collapse.
After several days of demonstrations and negotiations, finally,
on March 6, 1992, the first president of Azerbaijan and former
leader of its Communist Party resigned. A council consisting of
Hassan Hassanov, prime minister, People Front leaders, under
the supervision of Yaghoob Mohammadov, head of High Council
of Azerbaijan came to power as a caretaker president. This
council should have implemented the tasks of government until
the formation of a coalition government with the membership of
Communist Party and People Front.[6] The most important point
in the internal politics arena was that Karabakh and political
groups in Azerbaijan tested the first impact of Karabakh
developments on the internal and political situation of
Azerbaijan in the form of the fall of Khoujali leading to the
change of government in Baku.
From foreign relations point of view, the event of Khoujaloo
gave a regional dimension to the crisis of Karabakh due to the
numbers of victims and refugees and created an opportunity for
some regional and trans-regional powers to play some role in
the developments of the Caucasus. Before these developments,
all developments in the Caucasus had been under the control of
Russia and there had been no connection between foreign
countries and regional and international organizations. After
the event of Khoujali, the UN, EU, Turkey and Iran each with
their own objectives and policies began their activities focusing
on Karabakh issue.
Iran, which was so preoccupied with its own problems since
19th century after the war between Iran and Russia, never had
any opportunity to adopt active policy toward the events
occurring in its neighboring region of the Caucasus and then under
the Soviet rule, there was no ground for activity. Now, given the
new situation in the Caucasus, the first essential step taken by
Iran after the recognition of the independence of these republics
was to transform the Islamic Republic of Iran Consulate in
Baku into an embassy and the establishment of the Islamic
Republic of Iran Embassy in Yerevan, to provide necessary
conditions for conducting activities in the region to end military
disputes and to settle the disputes peacefully through dialogue
and direct negotiations between the two sides.
Initiatives for the Peaceful settlement of the Crisis Before
Conducting Mediation by Iran.
Under the Soviet rule, Moscow's efforts to solve Karabakh
problem had no positive result; but Moscow's policies had
a determining role in preventing disputes in Karabakh from erupting intoa military confrontation. After the independence of
Azerbaijan and Armenia, the monopoly of Russia in the
developments of Karabakh was removed, and an opportunity
for regional and trans-regional powers to settle peacefully the
Karabakh Conflict was provided. Despite the fact that Russia, in
these new circumstances, still had a strong influence in these two
republics and Russian military forces had military presence in
some of the bases in the region, they could not play the same
role as they had in the past. Therefore, after the collapse of the Soviet
Union, the Crisis of Karabakh entered fully into the military
phase and Moscow's efforts to reduce tensions had no
significant result .
In Late November 1991, some negotiations were held
between Ter-Petrossian, President of Armenia, and Motallebov,
President of Azerbaijian, through consultation with Moscow which
apparently had some relatively positive results. During this
meeting Ayyaz Motallebov declared his readiness to restore the
autonomy of Karabakh to facilitate the trend of negotiations.
Also, some agreements facilitated the lifting of economic sanctions
on Armenia and Nakhchivan.[7] Terpetrossian, returning to
Moscow, said that it was agreed that the autonomy of
Karabakh was to be restored, but opposition groups did not welcome
these negotiations. Jamshid Nouriev, one of the leaders of an
organization named "Popular Aid to Karabakh" emphasized
that the Karabakh Conflict is a domestic problem of Azerbaijan,
condemned any interference by foreign powers in solving this
problem. Also, Faraj Gholiev, one of the members of
"Democratic Union for Independent Azerbaijan" regarded the
agreements made by the President in Moscow as "something
beyond his authority." Opposition continued to such an extent
that Vaghef Azar Narimanoghlu, press advisor of Motallebov
condemned the restoration of the autonomy of Karabakh.[8] In
fact, agreements made in Moscow had no practical result.
In late January 1992, member countries of CSCE, which had
already accepted the membership of Armenia and Azerbaijan in
a meeting held in Prague, approved that a delegation was to be sent
to the region for studying the situation in Karabakh,
establishing ceasefire, and deploying observer groups. The
foreign ministers of Azerbaijan and Armenia who were present
in this meeting agreed with the visit of the CSCE's observer groups
delegation. This delegation traveled to the region in mid-February.[9] Given the opposition stance of political rivals of Motallebov in Baku and the intensification of Armenian's
military operations, this visit had no concrete achievement.
2- Regional Developments before the Beginning of Iran's
Mediation Effort
When in winter 1991, the Soviet Union collapsed and the
region confronted with a great political vacuum , Iran regarded
Central Asia and the Caucasus in the post - Soviet era as an arena for its diplomatic movements, due to its regional situation
in one hand and its willingness to break its imposed diplomatic
restrictions by the West, on the other. The post - Soviet
era witnessed the continuance of the conflict. The form and
situation of this conflict could respond in some ways to Iran's
policies in this era.
First, Iran was in the neighborhood of the environment of
conflict. Karabakh is situated only 40 km distance from its
borders. At that time, this possibility raised that the
boundaries of conflict extended to the beyond of Karabakh.
Since them, Iran's consideration was based on security
perceptions.
Second, regional situation was in a large vacuum. This
resulted from the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia as the
immediate successor of it could not restore its traditional
influence on these regions. Although Iran faced an
important and major rival such as Turkey in these regions, Iran
enjoyed better conditions. One of these conditions was having
relationship with Armenia of which Turkey was deprived. This
situation allowed Iran to adopt an active policy toward the
region.
These two approaches have an important role in the
formation of Iran's regional policy and the beginning of its
mediatory efforts. Iran tried to institutionalize and sustain
political presence in the region. This perception was based on
political objectivity. Azerbaijan and Armenia were engaged in a
complicated and wearying conflict which, in the final
analysis, could not be settled up in a manner that could be
acceptable for both of them.
In these circumstances, Iran's mediation was put forth as an
approach for the settlement of conflict between two sides.
However, a deep deviation emerged which mostly derived from
the speed of developments and Iran's diplomatic stance. The
speed of regional developments attracted foreign elements. At
that time, states and international organizations tried to
engage themselves in the conflict.
This deviation derived from this fact that should Iran seek
the settlement of conflict through mediation or by having active
political presence and expanding its political influence in the
region. Thus, Iranian diplomacy was faced with a behavioral option,
which ensured negative political implications. These
implications were mostly based on adopting a political behavior that
relied upon intensive diplomatic activity. Finally, Iran opted
for mediatory approach.
The mediatory efforts of the Islamic Republic of Iran include
a six month process. This process began from January 1992
and ended September of that year, during this period some
developments occurred including relative capturing of
Karabakh and occupation of Shousha and Lachin, two strategic
cities, one in Karabakh and other outside of it in Azerbaijan's
territories. This process marks the most difficult period in the
trend of events in Karabakh conflict. This period coupled
significant and extensive military and political transformations.
Examining political and military developments at the beginning
of Iran's pacifist efforts makes clear the complicated situation
of conflict and Iran's difficult situation for alleviating the
intensity of the crisis.
Agreements made at the meeting between the Presidents of
Azerbaijan and Armenia held in late November in Moscow not
only took effect, but also complicated the
situation in Baku, due to the existence of political rivalries. The
decision taken by CSCE in its session in late January to settle
peacefully Karabakh conflict and the visit of its delegation to
the region in mid February had no results. The defeat of
Azerbaijani forces in the areas around Stepanakert and the seizure
of most areas in Karabakh by Armenians on one hand and the
fall of Khoujali in February 26 on the other hand promoted
political developments in Baku leading finally to the
resignation of Moltallebov, President of Azerbaijan on March 6
and the appointment of Yaghoub Mohammadov as caretaker
President and head of Azerbaijan's National Council.
One of the main tasks of Azerbaijan's National Council was
to form a coalition government consisting of Communists and
People Front members. However, despite the fact that negotiations
between Communists and People Front leaders lasted for more
than one month, the inabilityof government to give key
positions to the individuals favored by People Front led these
talks to a deadlock. In early April 1992, the spokesman of
People Front declared that the defeat of negotiations implied
the beginning of street fighting.[10] An important part of People
Front forces required for street fighting were in Karabakh war
fronts.[11]
The situation in which Iran began its efforts for the
settlement of Karabakh conflict could be analyzed from two
points of view. From military point of view, an imbalance
created in fronts, political differences and power struggle in
Baku had negative impact on war fronts, while political groups
exploited war and military forces in favor of their factional
interests. On the contrary, Armenian forces were hopeful about
the future due to their successive victories.
From political point of view, the transitory and shaking
government of Baku could not make essential decisions about
the settlement of conflict in an atmosphere replete with
political differences. Contrary to Azerbaijan, where existed no
political unity, in Armenia there was relative stability and
political unity. Armenian political parties and groups did not allow
their existing differences to
compromise the political stability of the republic.[12]
Karabakh leaders did not show any political flexibility for
the settlement of crisis because of their success in the war front. Also,
Armenia's authorities either had no influence on them or
agreed with rigid policies adopted by Karabakh leaders. In this
period, military developments had influenced political
approaches and for this reason peaceful attempts which had
been already made had no success. In this unsuitable
atmosphere, the Islamic Republic of Iran began its mediatory
efforts for the peaceful settlement of Karabakh Dispute which
will be studied in several stages.
III- Mediation of the Islamic Republic of Iran
1- First stage of Iran’s Mediation: Consolidation of
Mediation
The stabilization of mediation came with the culmination of dispute
and the emergence of the first sign of tiredness and exhaustion.
Of the two sides, the importance of the roles played by the third
parties and mediators increased Russia, Conference of Security
and Cooperation in Europe (CSCE), the UN and Iran each began
their activities for the settlement of dispute. Peace efforts
made by Moscow and the delegation of CSCE could not
diminish military clashes between Azeris and Armenians. With
the fall of areas surrounding Stepanakert and important and
strategic city of Khoujaloo by the attacks of Armenian forces,
intensified fighting and it was expected that in new
circumstances the number of casualties and displaced people
would increase. Under the conditions of increased military activity the region was awaiting bloody and extensive events. Dr. Veayati, foreign
minister of the Islamic Republic of Iran in February 1992
made negotiations with the presidents of Azerbaijan and
Armenia about the peaceful settlement of Karabakh Dispute
And declared the readiness of the Islamic Republic of Iran to provide any assistance necessary for decreasing tensions.
Following these negotiations and the declaration of the Iranian
Foreign Minister showing the readiness of Iran, high ranking
representatives of the two sides visited Tehran in August at the
Tope of their relevant delegations, for negotiations and
consultations with Iranian authorities. The head of Armenian
delegation was Papazian, an advisor to the president, and the head of
Azeri delegation was assumed by Albert Salamov, deputy
foreign minister. They negotiated directly with Vaezi, the Iranian
deputy foreign minister during several sessions. These
negotiations were very important for Iran, because after the
passage of a difficult period replete with military clashes, an
evaluation of the demands put forth by the two sides and of
their interests for the peaceful settlement of conflict could be
made.
One of the formal challenges creating a serious obstacle in
this round of negotiations was the presence and participation of
Karabakh forces in the next round of negotiations to implement
future understandings and decisions. The Armenian delegation
believed that the main party of negotiation about the
settlement of Karabakh Dispute were the Karabakh authorities themselves, who
had to participate personally in negotiations and decide
their own future. The role of Armenian government would only be to
facilitate the advancement of negotiations. The Azeri delegation
believed that first, since Karabakh was a part of Azerbaijan’s
territory, the presence of Karabakh authorities as a party to
negotiations implies the recognition of their claims for
obtaining independence. Second, Karabakh fought against
Azarbaijan as the proxy of Armenia and if not for comprehensive Armenian support, the conflict would not
expand to such levels. Therefore, the main party to the Karabakh
dispute was Armenia itself, and if an agreement was made with Armenia resulted
in the non — intervention of Armenia in Karabakh affairs, an
adequate solution for this conflict could be found. The Armenian
delegation did not deny its moral and political support for
Karabakh and believed that if Armenia stopped its support,
Azerbaijan's hostile policies towards Armenians inhabiting
Karabakh would become so harsh that no individual
Armenian would remain in Karabakh. Given the serious
differences between the views of the Armenian and Azerbaijani
delegations, the Islamic Republic of Iran proposed that the two
sides would determine the legal status of Karabakh involving
its autonomy in the future through negotiations to solve this
problem.
As a result of these negotiations, a 14-point statement was
formulated. In this statement many issues such as the removing of the
blockade, the return of refugees to their country, as well as the overall settlement of
dispute coupled with a general formula for different stages. It
was agreed that after the approval of the two presidents this
statement would be issued as the Tehran Statement. One of its
paragraphs stipulated that the two sides should determine the
legal status of Karabakh involving its autonomy in the future
through negotiations. This paragraph was rejected by
President of Azerbaijan and consequently the agreements made
in Tehran were not realized.
After the opposition of President of Azerbaijan to that part of the
statement which was about the legal status of Karabakh,
presidents of Azerbaijan and Armenia during their talks with
Iranian foreign minister, declared their willingness for the
continuation of efforts made in Tehran, including Iran's
mediation in Karabakh Dispute. This request, which is
considered as the main and most important factor in every
effort for mediation, set the stage for the Iranian official
mediatory efforts to enter a new stage. Given Iran's situation, the
two sides expected that Tehran's lead could provide for an
effective compromise.
After the visit of Iranian foreign minister in March 1992 and
the official declaration of mediatory activities by Iran in
the Karabakh Dispute, Dr Velayati, in a letter to the UN secretary
General on 8 March 1992, outlined objectives, actions and
efforts envisioned by Iran. In part of this letter, he noted that
the efforts made in his recent visit to Baku and Yerevan
entered into its practical and serious stage, underscored the
interests of Iran’s government to maintain stability and peace in
the region and throughout the world.[13] Efforts made for
informing international bodies, particularly the UN, about Iran's
activity aimed at showing the effective and efficient role played
by Iran in the scene of regional politics. The Iranian foreign
minister, in another part of his letter to Boutrous Ghali wrote;
"The government of the Islamic Republic of Iran committed
itself to respond positively to the requests made by Armenian
and Azeri authorities for conducting mediatory efforts to solve
Karbakh dispute."[14]
Following Azeri and Armenian willingness to comply to and demands for Iran's mediation of for, Vaezi, the Iranian deputy foreign
minister was officially introduced as the mediator to continue
previous efforts. Given the experience obtained from
negotiations between Azeri and Armenian delegations in
Tehran, the Iranian Mediatory Delegation still needed to become more
familiar with regional realities particularly stances taken by
Karabakh leaders, whose presence at that time in negotiations
was impossible. They also needed to ensure that decisions
and agreements conformed with the views of high ranking
authorities, and thus adopted a plan of periodical visits and shuttle diplomacy as
an adequate method for overcoming existing problems.
2- The Second stage of Iran's Mediation: Shuttle Diplomacy
The second stage of Iran's mediation began in March 1992.
Iranian delegation headed by Vaezi visited Baku, Yerevan,
Stepankert and Nakhchivan several times. During these
periodical visits intensive and working negotiations were
carried out with most of qualified and relevant authorities
about Karabakh conflict, including high ranking individuals
such as the presidents, prime minister, foreign minister, minister of
defense, national security advisors and speaker of Parliament
from the two republics of Azerbaijan and Armenia. These
negotiations aimed at making closer the stances of the two sides
and set the stage for further improvement of relationship
between concerned parties in Karabakh Dispute.
During these visits and negotiations with the different levels
of authorities of the three involved parties, stances, views and
the degree of flexibility of all concerned parties were closely
examined . As a result before holding direct negotiations
between Azeri and Armenian delegations, their views have
relatively come close to each other, and, in fact, mediatory
delegation knew that involved parties were ready to what
extent adjust their positions and managed the trend of affairs
based on these data.
The Iranian mediatory delegation tried to use every means for
making closer the positions of the two sides. Under the Soviet
rule, there was a direct communication line among the Communist
Party's leaders which continued to exist after the collapse of the
Soviet Union. The Iranian mediatory delegation, in addition to
consultation and arrangements of direct negotiations, used this valuable communication
line when the situation was complicated or an important problem required the exchange of views at a higher level.
The Iranian mediatory delegation was aware of the negative and
positive role of Russia in the peaceful settlement of the Karabakh
dispute, given its vast influence in military and civilian bodies of
both countries. Therefore, the Iranian delegation visited Moscow
for conducting consultations, completing its efforts and
probably attracting Russian cooperation for improving common
efforts in the future; thereby Russian officials became aware of
previous attempts and also future plans about the Karabakh
dispute. In these negotiations, efforts made by Iran to end the
Karabakh Dispute were appreciated. Although Russian
officials, particularly the Russian foreign minister, welcomed the
activities of Iranian mediatory delegation and expressed their
best wishes for the success of its mediatory efforts, they did not
go further. Meanwhile, given the geographical situation of
Georgia in the region and the influence of its positions in the
settlement of dispute, Iranian delegation visited Tbilsi and
informed Georgian officials about attempts made by Iran. The
officials of the Iranian foreign ministry and the ambassadors of
the Islamic Republic of Iran, in a similar attempt, consulted with
the authorities in the countries which were somehow interested
in the future of the Caucasus developments.
a) Plan of Iranian Mediatory Delegation for the Settlement of
Karabakh Dispute:
Iran's attempts initially were focused on reducing the
intensity of war and setting the stage for reaching an
agreement on transitory ceasefire. One of the other plans of the
mediatory delegation was assuring that involved parties did not use the opportunity to arm themselves. Azerbijan was reluctant to even include the representatives of Karabakh in negotiations
which was considered an implicit recognition of secession
of Karabakh from Azerbaijan. Armenia believed that
without the presence of Karabakh leaders in negotiations,
decisions would not have any sanction and would be fruitless.
Mean while, Karabakh representatives did not agree to
participate in the meetings as observers or at the lower political
levels. This problem has been always challenging in the way of negotiations and reaching agreement.[15]
The Iranian mediatory delegation presented its suggestions after
preliminary negotiations with the leaders of the three involved
parties aimed at obtaining more information about their
positions and limitations. These suggestions contained a
general plan for reaching a settlement. Although these
suggestions were formulated given the possibility of admission
by the involved parties and their limitations, they were
accepted by the involved parties in general. However, it could not be expected that all of
them would be enforced in a short period of time, due to the
fluidity of events, existence of domestic pressure groups,
interventions by some regional powers and parties non -
compliance with their pledges. The most important suggestions
to reach compromise or breaking initial formulated in a 13 —
point plan are as follows:
- Transitory and then permanent ceasefire
- Deployment of observers to monitor the ceasefire and to
comply with agreements;
- Exchanging prisoners and the bodies of killed soldiers ;
- Removing economic sanctions imposed on Karabakh by
Azerbaijan
- Opening of transportation and communication ways of
Karabakh
- Forming Committees for the return of displaced people
concurrent with the removal of sanctions ;
- Humanitarian aid to Karabakh
- Beginning negotiations for the determination of
Karabakh’s legal status.[16]
|
b) Establishment of Transitory Ceasefire:
The first round of establishment of transitory ceasefire which
took place with the agreement of three involved parties in
Karabakh Dispute, was enforced from March 21st 1992
(concurrent with Nowrouz). The emphasis made by temporary
ceasefire by the mediatiory delegation, due to its importance on
establishing confidence between parties and providing an
opportunity for cooling down the dispute.
Efforts made by the Iranian mediatory delegation to transform
transitory ceasefire to permanent one had little success,
because of concerns expressed by both sides about the creation
of an opportunity to rearm and strengthen their forces. Iran's
plan was devised for maintaining ceasefire, using peacekeeping
forces consisting of Iranian and Russian forces to monitor
ceasefire in the region and their cooperation with OSCE's
peacekeeping forces and the UN which was not materialized
due to the failure in obtaining permanent ceasefire.
One of the effective attempts made by Iranian delegation
was to deploy some representatives in Yerevan, Baku and
Stepanakert to monitor ceasefire and coordination with the
officials from three parties to implement agreements.
Mr Alireza Sheikhattar, the former Iranian ambassador to New
Delhi as its representation in Baku, Mr Behzad Mazaheri,
former Iranian ambassador in Kief as its representative in
Stepanakert and Mr Bahram Ghassemi, Iranian ambassador in
Rome as its representative in Yerevan began their work. They
reported regularly and quickly to the mediatory delegation about
the happenings, their activities and also violations of ceasefire.
The establishment of the first ceasefire after a round of
bloody fighting, created hope for the returning of peace and
stability among warring parties and civilians in the region. The
most important message of the ceasefire was the formation of the
opinion among involved parties that reaching an agreement on
the important issues of dispute would be possible through
negotiations. The establishment of ceasefire, from the Iranian
delegations point of view, was one of the most important factors
for building confidence in the relationship between the involved
parties and could play a major role for the future missions of
the mediatory delegation.
3- Third Stage of Iran's Mediation: Tehran Summit
The Iranian mediatory delegation, after achieving some success in
the second stage of mediation regarding the reduction in the
intensity of fightings, produced a transitory ceasefire and prepareda
plan agreed upon its generalities by all the parties, visited the
region in May 1992 and had meetings with the authorities of
Azerbaijan and Armenia, including their presidents, during
which it emphasized finalizing and operationalizing Iran's
plan prepared in the second stage of mediation. As a result of
efforts and negotiations made by the Iranian delegation, the
presidents of the two countries agreed to visit Tehran to
participate in a trilateral meeting with the presence of the Iranian
president. Also, it was agreed that the second transitory
ceasefire to be established in May 1992. Mechanisms predicted
for implementing this ceasefire was identical to the first one.
Azerbaijan's opposition to the presence of Karabakh leaders in
Tehran Summit Caused that Armenian delegation expressed
the views of Karabakh leaders.
The Iranian mediatory delegation believed that for obtaining
essential results for the settlement of dispute it would be
necessary that decisions were approved officially and publicly
by the leaders of both countries to begin a new phase to settle
up Karabakh Dispute,
For this reason, Armenian President Terpetrossian, and
Yaghoub Mahammadov, caretaker president of Azerbaijan
visited Tehran in May 1992 at the invitation of Hashemi
Rafsanjani, the Iranian president, to participate in a trilateral meeting. Negotiations held in Tehran, which lasted two days,
were very intensive and during which an agreement was signed
by three presidents on May 7, 1992 which was called Tehran
Summit declaration (Annex l) .
The Tehran Summit can be analyzed from different
perspectives. First, it culminated Iran's political efforts to
reach an agreement, however transitory and short lived.
Second, it reflected Iran's efforts in the regional and international
levels to establish peace and stability commensurate with the
greater role of Iran in the region. Third, the Tehran Summit was the
first diplomatic effort of this kind being held at the highest level
between the mediator and the authorities of two involved
countries . Later, this procedure repeated frequently,
particularly in Moscow.
a) Tehran Summit Declaration:
The Tehran Summit Declaration contained delicate points
mentioned by the mediatory delegation. Meanwhile, because of the
presence of two leaders, its signing could increase its credit and
weight. The main points of this declaration were as follows:
- Appreciation of the efforts made by the IRI and other
countries and international organizations to establish
peace
- Regular and continuous meetings between high
ranking military officials to create regional security arrangements
- Emphasis on the settlement of all bilateral problems
based on international law and the principles of OSCE:
- Finding a solution for the problems of Azeri and Armenian
displaced people
- Emphasis on observing human rights as well as the rights
of minorities in both countries
- Emphasis made by two sides on peace and stability in the fronts as well as in Nagorno Karabakh:
- Requesting the Iranian side to again send Mr. Vaezi, in order to continue
mediatory efforts:
- Two leaders support for enforcing ceasefire
- Expressing hope by the two sides for the continuation of
Iran's mediatory efforts aimed at obtaining full peace and
security in the region until reaching a final result.[17]
b) Appraisal of Iran’s Mediation:
The Tehran Summit, which culminated in Iran's efforts to end one of
the most complicated disputes within the former Soviet Union,
despite effective preparations, could not materialize its positive
results and achievements due to the unilateral action of
Karabakh Armenians in capturing Shousha. However, in spite
of this unforeseen development in the scene of military
operations, positive efforts of the IRI continued. However, the close
relationship between problems relating to dispute and the new
military developments relating to dispute and new military
developments, changing military forces formations
influencing the two sides, the changes created in the occupied
regions, the increasing number of displaced people, prisoners and
casualties, uninterrupted flow of weapons to the
disputed region and most importantly, full non — confidence of
Azerbaijan in Armenia, had made the situation far more
difficult for continuing mediation. In these circumstances,
every mediatory efforts faced with limitations. Meanwhile,
the Tehran Summit proved a political point that was Iran's
concern over developments occurring in neighboring regions.
The seizure of Shousha happened several hours after the
signature of summit declaration while two Armenian and Azeri
high-ranking delegations were staying in Tehran, and faced
with consternation. The primary perception suggested thenon-adherence of Armenian side as a whole including
Armenians inhabiting in Karabakh and Yerevan at that time.
This inevitable development, influenced by the logic of
war, transformed the war situation. The seizure of Shousha led
to that of Lachin and this finally led to the opening of the famous
corridor of Shousha - Lachin - Goris which links directly
Karabakh to Armenia.
The other side of this development was Azerbaijan's
particular political situation. In Azerbaijan, Karabakh's
developments have been always a factor for transforming
internal situation. The period leading to the seizure of Shousha
and the Lachin was a suitable period for the People Front to leap at
political power. The withdrawal of military and paramilitary
forces from Shousha, which was Azeris' strategic trench in
Karabakh and their point of military reliance, caused political damage to the People Front government, making them unable to compromise.
When the Tehran Summit was progressing, the main goal of
designers of the fall of Shousha at that critical period was to
defeat Iranian mediatory efforts. In this regard two point of
views are worth of mentioning. Some believe that Russia's plot
with the help of Karabakh forces set the stage for the fall of
Shousha. Others believe that the treason made by Azerbaijan's
People Front with Turkey's more assistance paved the way for
losing Shousha. After the seizure of Shousha, it was made clear
that Azerbaijan's military forces which were mostly proponents
of People Front, due to the fact that only one day before the fall of the city had deserted
their positions and fortifications and withdrawn. Yaghoub
Mhammadov, Azerbaijan's caretaker president, in his report
to Azeri people about the causes of the fall of Shousha said that
an important sector of defense forces had left the city on
March 7, one day before the Armenian Attacks.[18]
Given these events, the agreement made at Tehran summit
was not applicable. Thereafter, Iran's approach to mediation is
distinguished from the previous period prior to the Tehran Summit.
This distinction was derived from both domestic impact of
dispute and political behavior after the Tehran Summit in the
region. Its distinguishing feature, in both the external and internal
dimension, was the lack of vitality, given the speed of the trend
of events. In fact, developments after the seizure of Shousha
and the Lachin were so fast and serious that the form and
nature of conflict totally changed. As a result, Iran could not
keep up with these developments as the previous period. This
development in Iran's political behavior stemmed from political
impact of the seizure of Shousha and Lachin, which caused
Iranian diplomacy to become inactive .
When Karabakh became an important and determining
factor in the domestic scene of Azerbaijan, it was no
longer able to deal with the dispute. Due to this fact that the
political focus was nolonger to end the non-obedience of
separatist Armenians. Rather, it centered around internal
disputes involving rival political groups.[19] The fall of Shousha
and shortly afterwards that of Lachin set the stage for the
overthrow of unstable government of Yaghoub Mohammadov,
and the People Front's coming to power. After the fall of
Shousha, the mediatory delegation continued its activities, but with
the formation of a government by People Front and, given the
vast influence of Turkey on this group and the opposition of
the People Front to Iran, there was no longer any chance for the
continuation of Iranian mediatory delegation activities. After 6 months of peace - seeking efforts, these activities
stopped.
4- Political Consequences of Mediation for Iran
Iran's mediation, in addition to its direct influence on the
dispute itself, and the relationship between Azerbaijan and
Armenia, was a beginning for other peaceful efforts made by
other countries, as well as regional and international organizations.
It had political impact and consequences for Iran, which could
be studied from internal and external aspects, and form an internal
policy aspect, two subjects that are concrete results of
mediation. In other words, prevention of unfavorable impact
on national security and effective control of domestic political
issues. From the foreign policy aspect, two general subjects that
are instruments of political confidence expressed by involved
parties towards Iran and assertion of Iran's role and influence
in the developments of the Caucasus and Central Asia, which is
a perception beyond the framework of mediation, are worth
mentioning and will be summarily analyzed below.
a) Impact of Mediation on the Relationship between Iran and Regional
Countries:
After the independence of the republics in the Caucasus,
negative propaganda regarding Iran increased significantly. As
for Azerbaijan, the propaganda were directed to increasing
power of Islamic groups and their intervention in their internal
affairs. The revival of historical background suggested that
most of the cities in the republic of Azerbaijan had belonged to
Iran and that country was trying to recapture them was a single propaganda effort among many that was against Iran's policy in the region. On the
other hand, as for Armenia, the propaganda formulated in a
manner that implying due to this fact that Azerbaijan is both a
Muslim and Shiite country like Iran, the IRI policy was to
support Azerbaijan in its war with Armenia. It was natural
that political consultations against Iran regarding these
incorrect subjects could have very negative impact on the
relationship between Iran and two neighboring countries in
their early years of independence; also, its negative impact on
the relationship between Iran and the Central Asian countries were
serious, and therefore, mediation could make clear Iran's policies
towards the two involved countries and Central Asia based on
mutual respect and neutralized some of the propaganda.
While major political efforts and propaganda were underway
to contain Iran's influence in the Caucasus, regulating suitable
relationships with Iran’s two neighboring countries and obtaining the
confidence of involved parties, were two of the most important
achievements of Iran in the process of mediation. This political
confidence began during the negotiations of high ranking
representatives of Armenia and Azerbaijan in Tehran by
agreeing on the Tehran Declaration, continuing with several
rounds of direct negotiations at different levels and then the
reduction of the intensity of clashes and exchanging a number
of prisoners and finally two rounds of transitory ceasefire and the
signing of the Tehran Summit Declaration. The authorities of both
countries in different levels as well as Karabakh officials, in
their negotiations with the head of Iranian mediatory
delegation, expressed their confidence and trust in Iran's policy
towards the Karabakh Dispute. This was mostly due to this fact
that Iran never had a hostile and dominating behavior towards
them for as their historical and political memory suggested.
Continuous negotiations and efforts made by Iranian
mediatory delegation for the settlement of the dispute and the
reduction of the intensity of clashes had positive effects on the
public opinion of the two nations of Armenia and Azerbaijan,
and made clearer Iran's good faith reflected in its policies
towards two neighboring countries, to the extent that this
behavior had a determining impact on the expansion of
bilateral relations with both countries. At that time, one of the
problems was to open the IRI's embassy in Yerevan and
sending an ambassador there which was predicted to be a
difficult step for Iran given the intensive clashes between
Azerbaijan and Armenia and faced with the reaction of the
republic of Azerbaijan and some of internal groups in Iran, but
with Iran's mediation in the Karabakh Dispute, opening an Iranian
embassy became natural and those who opposed having
relations with Armenia regarded it as an instrument for
mediation.
The willingness of the Karabakh leaders to open the doors for
cooperation with Iran, expressed since the first political contact
between the two parties during mediation. Although Iran could
not have a formulated relations with Karabakh because of its
principled policies, interest and good faith showed by one of the
major actors in the dispute towards Iran could be considered an
important factor. One of the most important points in
expressing political confidence in Iran was that various
commonalities between Iran and Azerbaijan had no effect in
Armenia's policies towards Iran. In fact, Armenians had
accepted that Iran had a special relationship with Azerbaijan
due to their religious and cultural commonalities. For this
reason, during the period of active Iran's mediation, Armenians
never protested it. In practice, Iran's apparent policy in its
bilateral relation tilted somewhat towards Azerbaijan, but
regarding issues related to mediation, it acted out of justice and
neutrality .
For the first time in contemporary Iranian history, mediation
opened a window for more diplomatic mobility in a region which
has been a traditional arena for Iranian
interests and influence. In comparison with early
years of World War I when Iran experienced a decline in its
political power, the new period (with all its shortages which will
be explained in the section of results and consequences)
suggests an active role in the field of diplomacy. Except for
Russia, Iran was the first country in the region, and at
international level, which entered into the process of mediation
by the request of both parties. Although the settlement of a
dispute with such a record and history was not expected in a
short period, it provided an opportunity for Iran to enter the arena of regional
politics and to obtain a relatively favorable position given
its assets and potential.
The assertion of the role and influence of Iran was very
important for the actors, for Iran enjoyed a traditional and powerful
position in this region, and also had great influence on Iran's
political behavior in the region. It could be said that Iran, by
doing this, despite the major propaganda against regional
policies, could build confidence and enter into the field of
developments and event of Central Asia and the Caucasus.
Future events in the region showed that Iran could have an
effective power in the region.
Contrary to the previous period, the years after the First
World War , Iran had a pioneering role following the collapse of
the Soviet Union. The approach of Iranian diplomacy, serving
as a mediator in Karabakh Dispute was unique in its kind until
that time in the history Iranian diplomacy. Despite the
weaknesses of Iranian diplomacy towards Karabakh, the efforts
made by Iran for mediation increased its presence and influence
in the region.
b) Consequences of Mediation in Iran's Domestic Policies:
To show the importance of this subject, it is necessary to take
a glance at the history of interaction between peoples in Iran
and the Caucasus. After the secession of some regions from
Iran's territory in the first war of Iran and Russia, there was
always some political interaction between peoples inhabiting both sides of the border. The second war of Iran and Russia
occurred due to the unsolved problems of the first war and
unjust Russian behavior toward the inhabitants of these
regions, particularly Muslims, which angered Iran. In
the last years of the First World War, the Caucasus was
involved in large military disputes. Ethnical tensions between
Azeris and Armenians culminated. Also the people inhabiting the
Iranian side of the border, in order to support Muslims, expressed
their opposition to Armenian's behavior.
The government headed by the Musavat party in the first period
of independence adopted the name of "Azerbaijan" for the
country. One of the goals of adopting this name, was to exploit
Iranian Azeris in favor of Azerbaijani interests. At that time,
attracting Iranian Azeris was very important for the Musavat
government; for this reason, great efforts were made so that all
the news regarding struggling with Armenians were reflected
on this side of the border. As said in the previous chapter, during
the First World War, due to this fact that Iran was under the
pressure by allied forces and had not an authoritarian central
government. At that time, skilful management of local
authorities and Azeri clerics in Iran prevented the spread
of Armenia’s clashes with the Azeris in the Caucasus into Iran's
territory.
Despite this, Iranian Azeris showed led peaceful lives alongside Iranian Armenians,
and the Armenian community in Iran had always been a minority
conforming with the government; their minority position and
the long history of living among Muslims taught them to
behave accordingly. Iranian Armenians have never experienced
hardships and displacements of their religious brethren in the
Caucasus and Ottoman Empire. The reason for this has been
the intelligent behavior of Muslims and the tranquility of
Iranian Armenians.
Another important point for the Islamic Republic of Iran in
this dispute was the stability of its common borders with
Azerbaijan and Armenia. Iran has common borders with
both countries and its distance with Karabakh, the main
center of dispute, is about 40 km2 . Given the above mentioned
subjects, Iran could not be indifferent to the developments
occurring along its borders, security changes of the borders
and their impact on Iran's internal developments.
When Iran's mediation entered into the practical phase, the disputed
boundaries were confined to Karabakh. Azeri forces
still controlled some areas in the east and south of Karabakh,
particularly strategic city of Shousha. However, the intensity of
armament of Karabakh forces and extreme position of their
leaders suggested the escalation of conflict. At that time, however, only
some signs had emerged implying the possibility of
geographical expansion of war. This issue was very important
in terms of security matters, it could have entailed a threat against the
borders and stability of neighboring countries.
In addition to this approach, some plans were proposed for
the settlement of dispute by some countries and forums which
had a direct relation with Iran’s national security. The political
plan of “Land for Peace” which was first proposed by Andrei
Sakharov and, later after increase in the size of lands captured
by Karabakh forces, forward by Paul Gobel, former advisor of
the US secretary of state in the Soviet nationality and one of
the researchers of Carnegie Foundation.
Based on this plan, Karabakh links to Armenia through the
Corridor of Shousha and Lachin; and Azerbaijan links to
Nakhchevan through a narrow strip.[20] This plan constituted
the basis of important political activities in the period of the People
Front government. Based on this plan, the border between
Armenia and Iran was removed and by linking Nakhchevan to
Azerbaijan, Turkey’s limitation in having direct access to
Azerbaijan was eliminated. This plan, if implemented, could
change the political geography of region.
Armenia and Russia opposed to this plan. Also, Iran
expressed its opposition to the change of political geography of the
region. If this plan could have been somehow implemented it
would have had wide political, economic and security effects on
the region. Linking Nakhchevan to Azerbaijan would have
reduced the importance of Iran's unique and distinctive position
in the Caucasus and interrupted Iran's linkage with Armenia. In
addition to this, it would have created a dramatic change in the
route of transferring the Caspian oil and gas to Europe, which
was by no means favorable for Iran.
Coordination between Turkey and Azerbaijan created by
geographical linkage could be a source of disturbance for the
Azerbaijan of Iran, in the case that an extremist government
came to power in Azerbaijan. The Republic of Azerbaijan, in the
culmination of its weakness when facing with the Karabakh
problem (under the extremist government of People Front),
claimed to be the supporter of Azerbaijan of Iran,
strengthening relations with Turkey and having geographical
links with this country, extremist thoughts in both countries
could have made serious trouble.
At the time of beginning the conflict in Karabakh, some
efforts began for influencing the social environment of Iran by
Azerbaijan through keeping their exploitation of events and developments to a
minimum. Iranian policy was based on good relations with
both neighboring countries; meeting Azerbaijan's
expectations contradicted the principles of mediation. For
Azerbaijan, which was under the pressure of Armenians, the
policy of exerting the maximum external pressure on
Armenians was much more desirable. Azeris felt that Iranian people
were disposed to make such decisions. Therefore, they tried to
imply that Iran had given arms, military equipment and fuel,
while this country, despite the adoption of the policy of
continuing ordinary relations and commercial cooperation,
never supplied Armenia with ammunitions, fuel and weapons.
The reason for adopting this policy was that Iran did not want
To influence its good relationship with Azerbaijan through this
behavior and to leave a negative historical record in the minds
of Azeri people. On the other hand, Iran was not interested in
the escalation of war along its borders without
considering Iranian policies in the region in the Caucasus. A
few groups of Iranian Par-Turkists tried hard in this respect.
Although expressing Islamic sentiments by Iranians was
Inevitable, particularly in light of the values of Islamic revolution
that emphasized supporting Muslims, this could have adverse internal
consequences, which could lead to the undermining of the historical
relationship between Iranian minorities and great community
of Iranian Muslims. Therefore, these developments could have had negative effects on
the life of the Armenians in Iran.
However, the efforts made by the Republic of Azerbaijan and
its authorities, intellectuals and propaganda apparatus focused
on exploiting the situation of Azerbaijan of Iran to meet its
interests and to hurt Armenians. Of course, it should be added
that Azeris used any opportunity for undermining the new
established relations between Iran and Armenia.
Azeris expected Iran, like Turkey, to support them
unilaterally and to reduce its level of relationship with Armenia
and particularly its relationship with its neighbors. Azerbaijan went so far
that it urged Tehran to end their relationships with Yerevan.[21] Iran while understanding the situation of Azerbaijan,
recommended Azeris to move towards objectivity and to adopt
a moderate policy.
During the mediation, in addition to regional aspects, the
situation in Iran was more stable than any time in the past.
There was no fertile grounds within the country to facilitate
spreading problems related to the conflict into this side of
borders. In other words, pursuing mediatory policy, which was
itself a favorable approach in foreign policy, controlled domestic
problems due to its pioneering role and did not allow that some
internal factors determined the official policy towards an ethnic
and regional conflict occurring near our borders. In 1992, when the
People Front came to power in Azerbaijan, it used all its
capabilities for destabilizing the situation in Iran and spreading
disputes between Armenians and Azeris into Iran's territory.
One of the main slogans of the government of People Front was
‘Unity of Two Azerbaijans.’ The People Front tried to establish a
united front consisting of Azerbaijan and Turkey to confront
with Iran, Armenia and Russia. Extremist policies taken by
the People Front reduced the level of support of Azerbaijan and
paved the way for Armenians to capture major parts of
Azerbaijan's territory.
The effective control of domestic affairs, especially in the defeat
of Azerbaijan's provocative policy for creating enmities between
Azeris and Armenians within the country, was one of the
main characteristics of mediatiory policy. The interesting point
in the mutual understanding of all ethnic groups inhabiting
Iran could be found in Azerbaijan. Despite the little distance
from the border and the widespread broadcast of the news of
dispute between Armenia and Azerbaijan, as well as the
existence of a minority of Armenian people in the different
cities of Azerbaijan including Tabriz, Iran did not witness any serious
confrontation between Iranian Azeris and Armenians during
the long period of conflict.[22]
5- Russian Approach towards Iran's Mediation
Due to the importance attached by Russia to the Caucasus, it
considered seriously every act that increased its influence in the
region. Iranian diplomatic moves in the Karabakh Dispute, which
was an independent one, attracted Moscow's attention more
than other diplomatic movements. Meanwhile, Russia had failed in its earlier
efforts to settle the Karabakh Dispute. The Iranian Mediatory
Delegation went to Moscow after preliminary negotiations in
the capitals of the region and preparing a plan for the
settlement of dispute. Being aware of the sensitivity of Russia to
the developments in the Caucasus, the Iranians wished to conduct some negotiations
with Russian officials. The Russian foreign minister supported
initially all the efforts made for solving Karabakh problem by
any country or international organization, and them added that
he was pleased to see Iran's active participation in this issue.
Then, he expressed hope for the success of Iran's efforts.
Contacting with Russia, in the first step of mediation, ended
officially without building any basis for cooperation and
exchanging views.
Iran was interested in cooperating with Russia for joint
action but it seemed that the Iranian mediatory efforts had
been faced with Moscow's suspicions.[23] The reasons for this
suspicion were numerous. The first reason stemmed from a
geopolitical perception. Russia was looking for an answer to its
geopolitical problem in its diplomatic efforts for the settlement
of Karabakh Dispute. The vacuum derived form the collapse of
the Soviet Union was filled naturally by other countries.
Political environment could not remain in a vacuum. Therefore,
Russia suspected every effort, including Iran's attempts, for
restoring the political order in the republics of the former Soviet
Union.
Russia was interested in limiting Iran's role to bilateral
consultations. Russia never wanted Iran to play a role
beyond ordinary and diplomatic behavior in the Caucasus. This
point of view is not confined to Iran. Russians have a similar
view about other actors such as Turkey and even the OSCE.
However, the OSCE, due to its international credit and weight, along with
the membership of Russia, enjoyed a better position and
therefore could have more participation in the process of
dispute.
Russia always suspected Iran in the process of mediation. It
could not accept that Iranian efforts could take the steps for
removing tensions, at least nominally. However, the process of consultation, which did not involve any political movescontinued between the two countries.
Concurrently, and after the third phase of dispute that was
the seizure of Shousha and Lachin by Armenian forces of
Karabakh and the increase of OSCE's participation, Russia
tried to approach to Iran to use its influence in this process in a
limited way .
The change of government in Azerbaijan brought about new
developments in the dispute. Azeris tried to diversify effective
parameters and to increase their maneuvering power. Attempts
for employing Afghan mercenaries and concluding oil contracts
with some of Western companies were among the most
important cruxes of Azerbajian's activities regarding exerting pressure
on Armenians. In these circumstances, Russians redirected
their attention towards Iran, having in mind that Tehran was
in a position to persuade the Afghan prime minister to call up his
mercenaries from Azerbaijan.[24] This perception of Iran's role
was utilitarian and marginal. This approach is still valid among
Russian officials regarding Iran's role in Karabakh Dispute.
Annex
In the Name of God
Tehran Summit Declaration
At the invitations of His Excellency Mr. Hashemi Rafsanjani,
His Excellency Yaghoub Mohammadov, acting President of
Azerbaijan and His Excellency Leon Terpetrossian, President of
Armenia visited Tehran.
By the proposal and initiative of the Islamic Republic of Iran
and in the framework of diplomatic efforts to normalize
situation in Mountainous Karabakh and borders of Armenia
and Azerbaijan, to make views closer and to reduce regional
tensions, the head of two states with the presence of His
Excellency Mr Hashemi Rafsanjani met with each other on May
7 , 1992. In these talks which were carried out in a constructive
atmosphere replete with common understanding, the parties
agreed on:
1- Initially, the two parties appreciated efforts made by the
IRI and other countries and international and regional
organizations for the settlement of regional problems by
peaceful means and expressed their hopes that these
peaceful and benevolent intentions bring peace and
stability.
2- The two parties agreed that continuous visits between the
representatives of the two republics in the highest level
and also military and provincial officials will be taking
place for developing bilateral relations and regional
security arrangements.
3- The two parties expressed their willingness to solve all
the problems regarding the normalization of bilateral
relations based on the principles of OSCE and
international law by peaceful means and in different
levels.
4- The two parties emphasized on peace and stability in
borders and mountainous Karabakh which are in the
interests of both of them based on international law and
the UN charter.
5- The two parties emphasized on observing human rights
and minority rights and attracted their respective
attention to find a solution for the problem of Azeri and
Armenian displaced people.
6- The two parties agreed that one week after the visit of His
Excellency Mr. Vaezi, representative of the IRI,
president to the region (Baku, Yervan, Mountainous
Karabakh) and his negotiations with relevant parties and
attracting the support of Azerbaijani and Armenian
leaders, the ceasefire would be put in force. At the same
time, all the connecting roads would open to meet
economic needs. To implement the agreements, in
addition to some observers from the IRI, observers from
OSCE and others would be employed.
7- The two parties, while considered positively the summit
talks in Tehran, agreed to settle up all bilateral problems
through consultation and negotiations between officials in
different levels.
8- The heads of two states expressed their satisfaction about
mediatory efforts made by the IRI and hoped that these
efforts would continue until reaching complete peace and
security in the region and final objective.
The Islamic Republic of Iran
Hashemi Rafsanjani
Republic of Azerbaijan
Yaqhoub Mohammadov
Republic of Armenia
Levon Terpetrossian
Notes
[1]- Hamidreza Nafez Arefi, “Mediatory Theories in International Relations and Iranian Diplomacy in Karabakh Dispute”, (Tehran : Unpublished Thesis of Post – Graduate Course, International Relations College, 1995), pp. 94-96.
[2]- Syavash Bashiri, « Azer, Azerbaygan », (Tehran : Parang
Publications, 1984), p. 32.
[3]- Kaveh Bayat, « Crude Greed and Historical and Cultural Background
of the Caucasus Problem », Majale-yc- Nashre- Dancsh, Vol.8, No.1,
Spring 1992, p. 16.
[4]- Importance of the Caucasus for Iran - syyed Ali Asghar Kazemi,
« International Crises Management », (Tehran : Institute for
Political and International Studies, 1987), p. 14.
[5]- Bayat, op. cit., p. 93.
[6]- Ibid , pp. 94-97 .
[7]- Ibid., p. 119.
[8]- Ibid ., pp. 91-2.
[9]- Ibid., p. 120.
[10]- The Washington Post, 4 April 1992.
[11]- Bayat, op. cit., p. 101.
[12]- Ibid., p. 135.
[13]- Iranian foreign minister's letter to the UN Secretary General,
Tehran (Ministry of Foreign Affairs, First Directorate: CIS, March 8,
1992).
[14]- Ibid.
[15]- Transitory and then permanent ceasefire.
[16]- Ibid., p. 196.
[17]- Tehran Summit Declaration, Tehran : Ministry of Foreign Affairs,
First Directorate CIS, May 8, 1992.
[18]- Bayat, op. cit., p. 101.
[19]- Ibid., p. 137.
[20]- Ibid., p. 108
[21]- Statements by Heidar Aliev, Azerbaijan President, made before
political director general of the IRI's Ministry of Foreign Affairs
in Baku, January 1994.
[22]- Arefi, Op. Cit., pp 109 - 114.
[23]- Vera Tolz, "Russia's Diplomatic Offensive", op. cit., p. 32.
[24]- Ibid., p. 34.
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